The recent military strikes by the United States and Israel on Tehran have raised questions about the potential response from China, a key ally of Iran. As the situation unfolds, the focus is on whether China will intervene militarily to support the Islamic Republic.
In a conversation that took place just before the strikes on February 26, 2024, Professor Victor Gao elaborated on China’s historical stance regarding military engagement. During the interview with Reports on China, he emphasized that Beijing typically views war as a last resort. “War should always be treated as a last resort,” Gao stated, underscoring China’s preference for peaceful conflict resolution.
Gao pointed to several instances where China demonstrated military restraint despite having superior capabilities. For example, he cited China’s management of border clashes with India and maritime disputes with the Philippines. In these cases, he noted, Beijing opted for diplomacy rather than force. This approach, according to Gao, reflects not weakness but a strategic choice enabled by China’s growing military strength. He stated that advancements in shipbuilding and radar technology provide China with “more luxury of demanding peace.”
The current tensions in the Middle East may challenge China’s diplomatic preferences. While Gao did not provide a definitive answer regarding military intervention in support of Iran, his remarks suggested that China is more inclined to seek diplomatic solutions. He asserted, “Peace with China is inevitable,” indicating that dialogue is beneficial for all parties involved.
As the conflict escalates, Beijing has urged all involved to exercise restraint. China continues to monitor developments closely, particularly those that could impact its regional interests and energy security. Gao’s insights highlight China’s longstanding non-intervention doctrine and its preference for maintaining strategic ambiguity in international conflicts.
The implications of the US-Israel strikes on Tehran extend beyond immediate military concerns and could reshape regional alliances. Observers will be watching closely to see how China navigates these challenges while balancing its relationships in the Middle East and its commitments to maintaining peace.
