OBR Calls Early Budget Document Release Its ‘Worst Failure’

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has described the premature publication of a crucial Budget document as the “worst failure” in its 15-year history. This incident occurred just before the Chancellor’s speech, causing significant disruption. The OBR confirmed that the sensitive report was accessed 43 times from 32 different computers within an hour prior to the announcement.

OBR chairman Richard Hughes expressed his deep concern over the matter, stating he was “personally mortified” by the oversight. He emphasized the “deep disruption” the error caused, prompting him to engage a leading cyber-security expert to investigate how the document was made available on the OBR’s website ahead of schedule.

Investigation Reveals Significant Impact

A report released on Monday detailed the ramifications of the leak, asserting that it “inflicted heavy damage on the OBR’s reputation.” The document noted, “It is the worst failure in the 15-year history of the OBR.” The early release disrupted Chancellor Rachel Reeves, who anticipated that the Economic and Fiscal Outlook (EFO) would remain confidential until she concluded her Budget speech. Traditionally, such reports are published alongside the Treasury’s explanatory Red Book.

The leak had immediate consequences, as it prematurely confirmed several measures that the Chancellor was set to announce, including a proposed pay-per-mile charge on electric vehicles and a three-year freeze on income tax and National Insurance thresholds. These details were meant to be unveiled during the formal Budget address to the House of Commons, where they are typically kept under wraps due to their market-sensitive nature.

In response to the incident, the OBR swiftly removed the forecast document from its website and issued an apology, attributing the mistake to a “technical error.” The situation highlights the delicate balance the OBR must maintain between transparency and the confidentiality of sensitive economic information.

The OBR operates independently from the government but works closely with the Treasury and plays a critical role in assessing the health of the UK economy. Its reports are essential during significant government events, such as the Budget, where they inform public understanding and expectations.

As the OBR navigates the aftermath of this incident, it faces the challenge of restoring its credibility and ensuring that such an oversight does not occur in the future. The findings of the investigation will likely prompt a review of procedures and safeguards to protect sensitive information moving forward.